Table 2

HRs (and 95% CIs) of tertiles of baseline serum carotenoid concentration on incidence of type 2 diabetes among total patients

Model 1Model 2
Serum carotenoidsMean and range of
serum carotenoid (mmol/L)
nCaseNumber of
person-years
HR 95% CIP for trendHR 95% CIP for trend
LuteinLowest (T1)0.37 (0.16 to 0.47)2971921781.001.00
Middle (T2)0.57 (0.49 to 0.65)2811621580.81 (0.42 to 1.58)0.77 (0.39 to 1.52)
Highest (T3)0.84 (0.67 to 2.10)2861622390.69 (0.35 to 1.36)0.2780.64 (0.32 to 1.28)0.207
LycopeneLowest (T1)0.13 (0.06 to 0.22)2972421941.001.00
Middle (T2)0.31 (0.24 to 0.39)2741320550.77 (0.39 to 1.53)0.75 (0.37 to 1.50)
Highest (T3)0.57 (0.41 to 1.38)2931423250.83 (0.42 to 1.66)0.5370.77 (0.38 to 1.54)0.403
α-CaroteneLowest (T1)0.08 (0.04 to 0.09)2482218291.001.00
Middle (T2)0.13 (0.11 to 0.15)3232024750.74 (0.39 to 1.38)0.67 (0.35 to 1.28)
Highest (T3)0.23 (0.17 to 2.23)293922700.42 (0.18 to 0.97)0.0400.35 (0.15 to 0.82)0.015
β-CaroteneLowest (T1)0.32 (0.07 to 0.46)2792120341.001.00
Middle (T2)0.64 (0.48 to 0.84)3041823560.81 (0.42 to 1.59)0.74 (0.37 to 1.48)
Highest (T3)1.22 (0.85 to 3.33)2911221840.60 (0.27 to 1.34)0.2160.53 (0.23 to 1.22)0.134
β-CryptoxanthinLowest (T1)0.49 (0.13 to 0.94)2882020601.001.00
Middle (T2)1.42 (0.96 to 2.14)2861622150.52 (0.27 to 1.03)0.53 (0.26 to 1.07)
Highest (T3)3.44 (2.14 to 9.23)2901522990.41 (0.20 to 0.82)0.0260.43 (0.20 to 0.92)0.028
ZeaxanthinLowest (T1)0.17 (0.09 to 0.19)2921921221.001.00
Middle (T2)0.23 (0.21 to 0.25)2621719760.86 (0.44 to 1.66)0.87 (0.45 to 1.68)
Highest (T3)0.31 (0.26 to 0.62)3101524760.58 (0.29 to 1.16)0.1220.59 (0.30 to 1.17)0.131
Provitamin A carotenoidLowest (T1)1.02 (0.98 to 1.07)2872020831.001.00
Middle (T2)2.28 (2.23 to 2.33)2891921990.73 (0.38 to 1.40)0.71 (0.36 to 1.37)
Highest (T3)4.75 (4.59 to 4.92)2881222930.44 (0.20 to 0.94)0.0340.41 (0.19 to 0.90)0.025
Non-provitamin A carotenoidLowest (T1)0.77 (0.75 to 0.79)2881920771.001.00
Middle (T2)1.13 (1.12 to 1.14)2881922311.12 (0.59 to 2.13)1.10 (0.57 to 2.10)
Highest (T3)1.63 (1.60 to 1.66)2881322670.71 (0.35 to 1.45)0.3800.66 (0.32 to 1.36)0.282
Total carotenoidLowest (T1)2.01 (0.70 to 2.77)2881820971.001.00
Middle (T2)3.50 (2.77 to 4.39)2881821610.79 (0.40 to 1.57)0.77 (0.38 to 1.54)
Highest (T3)6.16 (4.44 to 15.18)2881523160.65 (0.31 to 1.35)0.2470.61 (0.28 to 1.30)0.198
  • Model 1: Age, sex and BMI were adjusted. Model 2: Current tobacco use, exercise habits, total energy intake excluding ethanol, and ethanol intake were further adjusted.

  • BMI, body mass index.