RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Two-year longitudinal trajectory patterns of albuminuria and subsequent rates of end-stage kidney disease and all-cause death: a nationwide cohort study of biopsy-proven diabetic kidney disease JF BMJ Open Diabetes Research & Care JO BMJ Open Diab Res Care FD American Diabetes Association SP e002241 DO 10.1136/bmjdrc-2021-002241 VO 9 IS 1 A1 Masayuki Yamanouchi A1 Kengo Furuichi A1 Junichi Hoshino A1 Tadashi Toyama A1 Miho Shimizu A1 Yuta Yamamura A1 Megumi Oshima A1 Shinji Kitajima A1 Akinori Hara A1 Yasunori Iwata A1 Norihiko Sakai A1 Yuki Oba A1 Shusaku Matsuoka A1 Daisuke Ikuma A1 Hiroki Mizuno A1 Tatsuya Suwabe A1 Naoki Sawa A1 Yukio Yuzawa A1 Hiroshi Kitamura A1 Yoshiki Suzuki A1 Hiroshi Sato A1 Noriko Uesugi A1 Yoshihiko Ueda A1 Shinichi Nishi A1 Hitoshi Yokoyama A1 Tomoya Nishino A1 Kenichi Samejima A1 Kentaro Kohagura A1 Yugo Shibagaki A1 Hirofumi Makino A1 Seiichi Matsuo A1 Yoshifumi Ubara A1 Takashi Wada A1 , YR 2021 UL http://drc.bmj.com/content/9/1/e002241.abstract AB Introduction Data on the association between longitudinal trajectory patterns of albuminuria and subsequent end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and all-cause mortality in diabetic kidney disease (DKD) are sparse.Research design and methods Drawing on nationally representative data of 329 patients with biopsy-proven DKD and an estimated glomerular filtration rate above 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 at the time of biopsy, we used joint latent class mixed models to identify different 2-year trajectory patterns of urine albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR) and assessed subsequent rates of competing events: ESKD and all-cause death.Results A total of three trajectory groups of UACR were identified: ‘high-increasing’ group (n=254; 77.2%), ‘high-decreasing’ group (n=24; 7.3%), and ‘low-stable’ group (n=51; 15.5%). The ‘low-stable’ group had the most favorable risk profile, including the baseline UACR (median (IQR) UACR (mg/g creatinine): ‘low-stable’, 109 (50–138); ‘high-decreasing’, 906 (468–1740); ‘high-increasing’, 1380 (654–2502)), and had the least subsequent risk of ESKD and all-cause death among the groups. Although there were no differences in baseline characteristics between the ‘high-decreasing’ group and the ‘high-increasing’ group, the ‘high-decreasing’ group had better control over blood pressure, blood glucose, and total cholesterol levels during the first 2 years of follow-up, and the incidence rates of subsequent ESKD and all-cause death were lower in the ‘high-decreasing’ group compared with the ‘high-increasing’ group (incidence rate of ESKD (per 1000 person-years): 32.7 vs 77.4, p=0.014; incidence rate of all-cause death (per 1000 person-years): 0.0 vs 25.4, p=0.007).Conclusions Dynamic changes in albuminuria are associated with subsequent ESKD and all-cause mortality in DKD. Reduction in albuminuria by improving risk profile may decrease the risk of ESKD and all-cause death.The inspection and usage of the raw data in this study is restricted according to the ethical approval. All data relevant to the study are included in the article or uploaded as online supplemental material.