Table 2

Rate of rise for HbA1c during the first 1.5 years postdiagnosis

Stratification (years)HbA1c slope (±95% CI)*Interaction
p Value†
By age
 0–40.15 (−0.02 to 0.32)
 5–90.87 (0.74 to 1.00)
 ≥101.69 (1.58 to 1.80)
 p Value‡<0.0001
By race×ageBlackWhiteOtherp<0.001
 Overall2.04 (1.77 to 2.31)0.99 (0.91 to 1.08)1.38 (1.01 to 1.75)
 0–40.19 (−0.26 to 0.64)0.10 (−0.044 to 0.24)0.70 (0.18 to 1.21)
 5–91.60 (1.18 to 2.02)0.81 (0.70 to 0.92)1.16 (0.61 to 1.70)
 ≥103.04 (2.60 to 3.48)1.52 (1.38 to 1.67)2.00 (1.34 to 2.66)
 p Value‡<0.0001<0.00010.01
By diagnostic era×agepre-20002000–20032004–2009p<0.001
 Overall0.92 (0.79 to 1.05)0.94 (0.78 to 1.09)1.36 (1.23 to 1.48)
 0–4−0.07 (−0.28 to 0.13)0.10 (−0.15 to 0.36)0.42 (0.18 to 0.65)
 5–90.77 (0.59 to 0.94)0.76 (0.55 to 0.98)1.02 (0.85 to 1.19)
 ≥101.59 (1.36 to 1.83)1.43 (1.16 to 1.70)1.93 (1.71 to 2.14)
 p Value‡<0.0001<0.0001<0.0001
By initial HbA1c×age§<7% (<53 mmol/mol)7–9%(53–75 mmol/mol)>9% (>75 mmol/mol)p<0.001
 Overall1.83 (1.72 to 1.94)0.81 (0.69 to 0.92)−0.68 (−0.87 to −0.49)
 0–41.15 (0.81 to 1.48)0.33 (0.13 to 0.53)−0.99 (−1.40 to −0.59)
 5–91.56 (1.38 to 1.74)0.55 (0.40 to 0.71)−0.63 (−1.11 to −0.16)
 ≥102.08 (1.94 to 2.21)1.42 (1.25 to 1.60)0.45 (−0.90 to 0.00)
 p Value‡<0.0001<0.00010.19
  • *Slope=ΔHbA1c/year (shown for NGSP (%) units only; NGSP*10.93=ΔHbA1c in SI/IFCC units (mmol/mol)).

  • †p Value for the interaction term testing whether the shape of the trajectory curve for each age-at-diagnosis subgroup changes across subgroups for the additional stratification variable (eg, race, diagnostic era, or initial HbA1c).

  • ‡p Values represent comparison of slopes across the 3 diagnostic age subgroups (0–4, 5–9, and ≥10 years).

  • §Initial HbA1c=first HbA1c value obtained after initiation of insulin therapy.

  • HbA1c, glycated hemoglobin; NGSP, National Glycohemoglobin Standardization Program.