AUROC for predicting the risk of adverse outcomes in survival models with clinical and sociodemographic variables with and without simple count and severity-weighted scores (training data set)
| All-cause mortality | Any-cause hospitalization | CV hospitalization | Diabetes-related hospitalization | Clustered CV/diabetes-related hospitalization | Hypoglycemia hospitalization | CV procedures | |
| Model 1 | 0.7528 | 0.6231 | 0.7033 | 0.6249 | 0.6329 | 0.6997 | 0.6665 |
| Model 2 CU score (SWU score) | 0.7570 (0.7556) | 0.6298 (0.6299) | 0.7281 (0.7169) | 0.6324 (0.6323) | 0.6445 (0.6433) | 0.7052 (0.7056) | 0.6858 (0.6778) |
| Model 2 C10 score (SW10 score) | 0.7563 (0.7553) | 0.6288 (0.6291) | 0.7267 (0.7162) | 0.6312 (0.6315) | 0.6427 (0.6422) | 0.7042 (0.7047) | 0.6850 (0.6773) |
| Model 2 C5 score (SW5 score) | 0.7553 (0.7548) | 0.6274 (0.6280) | 0.7226 (0.7138) | 0.6297 (0.6302) | 0.6404 (0.6404) | 0.7026 (0.7036) | 0.6833 (0.6759) |
| Model 3 | 0.7529 | 0.6230 | 0.7057 | 0.6254 | 0.6329 | 0.7104 | 0.6723 |
| Model 4 CU score (SWU score) | 0.7570 (0.7554) | 0.6293 (0.6293) | 0.7298 (0.7185) | 0.6327 (0.6325) | 0.6442 (0.6431) | 0.7162 (0.7163) | 0.6903 (0.6825) |
| Model 4 C10 score (SW10 score) | 0.7563 (0.7552) | 0.6283 (0.6286) | 0.7288 (0.7179) | 0.6316 (0.6317) | 0.6425 (0.6420) | 0.7151 (0.7155) | 0.6901 (0.6823) |
| Model 4 C5 score (SW5 score) | 0.7553 (0.7547) | 0.6270 (0.6276) | 0.7247 (0.7156) | 0.6302 (0.6306) | 0.6404 (0.6403) | 0.7136 (0.7144) | 0.6885 (0.6809) |
Model 1: age, gender, deprivation, and ethnicity.
Model 2: model 1+ severity score.
Model 3: age, gender, deprivation, ethnicity, and HbA1c (glycated hemoglobin).
Model 4: model 3 + severity score.
Simple count (C) score measured using unlimited (CU), 10-year (C10), and 5-year (C5) look-back windows.
Severity-weighted (SW) score measured using unlimited (SWU), 10-year (SW10), and 5-year (SW5) look-back windows.
AUROC, area under the receiver operating characteristics curve; CV, cardiovascular.