Table 3

HR of cancer, cancer mortality, and all-cause mortality

EventTZD (vs DPP4i)Insulin (vs TZD)Insulin (vs DPP4i)
HR95% CIP valueHR95% CIP valueHR95% CIP value
Cancer1.43(1.25 to 1.63)<0.001*0.81(0.72 to 0.91)<0.001*1.15(1.02 to 1.30)0.024*
 Lip, oral cavity, and pharynx1.66(0.81 to 3.40)0.1650.56(0.30 to 1.08)0.0830.94(0.46 to 1.91)0.870
 Digestive organs1.47(1.19 to 1.81)<0.001*0.94(0.78 to 1.13)0.5281.38(1.14 to 1.68)<0.001*
  Esophagus, stomach, and small intestineNA†NA†1.27(0.66 to 2.44)0.479
  Colorectum2.06(1.55 to 2.74)<0.001*0.53(0.41 to 0.69)<0.001*1.10(0.82 to 1.47)0.526
  Colon2.26(1.64 to 3.12)<0.001*0.45(0.33 to 0.61)<0.001*1.02(0.72 to 1.43)0.928
  Rectum/anus3.01(1.94 to 4.65)<0.001*0.34(0.23 to 0.51)<0.001*1.03(0.64 to 1.67)0.907
  Liver0.78(0.47 to 1.28)0.3221.61(1.02 to 2.53)0.041*1.25(0.83 to 1.86)0.287
  Gallbladder and extrahepatic bile duct8.14(3.36 to 19.69)<0.001*0.74(0.46 to 1.17)0.1945.98(2.48 to 14.42)<0.001*
  Pancreas0.43(0.20 to 0.89)0.022*3.97(2.00 to 7.88)<0.001*1.69(1.08 to 2.64)0.021*
 Respiratory system3.60(2.52 to 5.16)<0.001*0.40(0.30 to 0.54)<0.001*1.45(1.00 to 2.11)0.050*
 Bone, skin, and soft tissue0.79(0.41 to 1.51)0.4781.18(0.63 to 2.22)0.6210.93(0.53 to 1.63)0.803
 Breast and genital organs (for females only)0.65(0.43 to 0.97)0.034*1.54(1.04 to 2.29)0.031*0.99(0.73 to 1.36)0.975
 Urinary organs2.30(1.46 to 3.62)<0.001*0.25(0.16 to 0.39)<0.001*0.58(0.34 to 0.99)0.045*
 Eye, brain, and central nervous system, endocrine glands2.63(1.18 to 5.88)0.018*0.58(0.29 to 1.16)0.1231.51(0.65 to 3.52)0.340
 Lymphatic and hematopoietic tissue0.18(0.07 to 0.48)<0.001*6.72(2.64 to 17.12)<0.001*1.24(0.79 to 1.95)0.352
Cancer mortality1.21(0.92 to 1.58)0.1721.36(1.09 to 1.71)0.007*1.65(1.31 to 2.07)<0.001*
All-cause mortality0.99(0.88 to 1.11)0.8732.46(2.25 to 2.70)<0.001*2.44(2.23 to 2.67)<0.001*
Sensitivity analysis - Pioglitazone only in TZD drug class
Cancer1.31(1.13 to 1.50)<0.001*0.88(0.77 to 1.00)0.0501.15(1.01 to 1.30)0.030*
 Lip, oral cavity and pharynx2.87(1.44 to 5.69)0.003*0.30(0.16 to 0.55)<0.001*0.85(0.42 to 1.75)0.674
 Digestive organs1.83(1.49 to 2.25)<0.001*0.74(0.62 to 0.89)0.002*1.36(1.12 to 1.65)0.002*
  Esophagus, Stomach, and small intestineNA†NA†1.27(0.66 to 2.44)0.481
  Colorectum2.45(1.84 to 3.27)<0.001*0.45(0.34 to 0.58)<0.001*1.09(0.82 to 1.46)0.564
  Colon2.65(1.91 to 3.67)<0.001*0.38(0.28 to 0.52)<0.001*1.01(0.72 to 1.42)0.965
  Rectum / Anus4.42(2.87 to 6.82)<0.001*0.22(0.15 to 0.33)<0.001*0.99(0.61 to 1.60)0.974
  Liver1.12(0.69 to 1.80)0.6601.08(0.70 to 1.68)0.7361.21(0.81 to 1.81)0.361
  Gallbladder and extrahepatic bile duct9.99(4.14 to 24.07)<0.001*0.59(0.37 to 0.93)0.022*5.87(2.43 to 14.17)<0.001*
  Pancreas0.55(0.27 to 1.13)0.1053.02(1.55 to 5.89)0.001*1.67(1.07 to 2.62)0.024*
 Respiratory system1.49(0.98 to 2.26)0.0610.80(0.56 to 1.15)0.2381.20(0.82 to 1.75)0.362
 Bone, skin and soft tissue0.97(0.51 to 1.85)0.9310.99(0.53 to 1.84)0.9660.95(0.54 to 1.68)0.881
 Breast and genital organs (for female only)0.36(0.21 to 0.62)<0.001*2.88(1.67 to 4.97)<0.001*1.04(0.76 to 1.42)0.823
 Urinary organs2.31(1.40 to 3.80)0.001*0.32(0.19 to 0.53)<0.001*0.73(0.43 to 1.25)0.259
 Eye, brain and central nervous system, endocrine glands3.36(1.53 to 7.41)0.003*0.45(0.23 to 0.89)0.022*1.51(0.65 to 3.52)0.346
 Lymphatic and haematopoietic tissue0.26(0.10 to 0.67)0.005*4.66(1.88 to 11.55)<0.001*1.23(0.78 to 1.94)0.378
Cancer mortality1.51(1.15 to 1.98)0.003*1.00(0.80 to 1.26)0.9911.51(1.20 to 1.91)<0.001*
All-cause mortality1.13(1.00 to 1.27)0.044*2.18(1.97 to 2.41)<0.001*2.46(2.25 to 2.69)<0.001*
Sensitivity analysis—basal insulin only in insulin class
Cancer1.38(1.21 to 1.57)<0.001*0.85(0.75 to 0.95)0.006*1.17(1.03 to 1.32)0.015*
 Lip, oral cavity, and pharynx1.54(0.70 to 3.42)0.2880.86(0.45 to 1.65)0.6601.33(0.64 to 2.77)0.462
 Digestive organs1.25(1.01 to 1.54)0.038*0.95(0.78 to 1.15)0.6011.18(0.98 to 1.43)0.080
  Esophagus, stomach, and small intestineNA†NA†0.69(0.38 to 1.27)0.236
  Colorectum2.09(1.56 to 2.80)<0.001*0.61(0.47 to 0.79)<0.001*1.27(0.95 to 1.70)0.108
  Colon1.98(1.41 to 2.79)<0.001*0.61(0.45 to 0.82)0.001*1.21(0.86 to 1.69)0.283
  Rectum/anus3.14(2.02 to 4.90)<0.001*0.39(0.26 to 0.56)<0.001*1.21(0.76 to 1.95)0.433
  Liver0.47(0.28 to 0.80)0.005*1.86(1.12 to 3.06)0.015*0.88(0.59 to 1.29)0.517
  Gallbladder and extrahepatic bile duct3.98(1.97 to 8.01)<0.001*0.55(0.33 to 0.93)0.026*2.20(1.08 to 4.46)0.029*
  Pancreas0.39(0.17 to 0.88)0.023*4.11(1.90 to 8.89)<0.001*1.61(1.00 to 2.59)0.051
 Respiratory system4.47(3.12 to 6.40)<0.001*0.37(0.28 to 0.48)<0.001*1.63(1.12 to 2.38)0.010*
 Bone, skin, and soft tissue0.88(0.44 to 1.75)0.7211.22(0.64 to 2.34)0.5551.07(0.59 to 1.95)0.835
 Breast and genital organs (for females only)0.47(0.30 to 0.73)<0.001*2.41(1.58 to 3.67)<0.001*1.14(0.84 to 1.54)0.424
 Urinary organs1.82(1.12 to 2.95)0.015*0.46(0.30 to 0.70)<0.001*0.84(0.51 to 1.38)0.497
 Eye, brain, and central nervous system, endocrine glands2.20(0.88 to 5.51)0.0920.79(0.36 to 1.71)0.5621.74(0.70 to 4.29)0.234
 Lymphatic and hematopoietic tissue0.43(0.20 to 0.90)0.025*3.42(1.72 to 6.80)<0.001*1.47(0.92 to 2.34)0.106
Cancer mortality0.91(0.69 to 1.20)0.5071.44(1.12 to 1.84)0.004*1.30(1.04 to 1.63)0.022*
All-cause mortality0.89(0.80 to 0.99)0.027*1.78(1.63 to 1.95)<0.001*1.58(1.45 to 1.72)<0.001*
Sensitivity analysis—accounting for competing risk of death
Cancer1.46(1.28 to 1.65)<0.001*0.77(0.68 to 0.86)<0.001*1.12(0.99 to 1.26)0.083
 Lip, oral cavity, and pharynx1.74(0.85 to 3.57)0.1310.52(0.27 to 1.02)0.0580.91(0.45 to 1.81)0.794
 Digestive organs1.49(1.22 to 1.83)<0.001*0.90(0.75 to 1.08)0.2611.34(1.11 to 1.62)0.003*
  Esophagus, stomach, and small intestineNA†NA†1.26(0.64 to 2.47)0.508
  Colorectum2.09(1.59 to 2.74)<0.001*0.51(0.39 to 0.66)<0.001*1.06(0.80 to 1.42)0.687
  Colon2.29(1.69 to 3.11)<0.001*0.43(0.32 to 0.58)<0.001*0.98(0.70 to 1.37)0.919
  Rectum/anus3.05(2.01 to 4.63)<0.001*0.33(0.22 to 0.49)<0.001*1.00(0.62 to 1.61)0.990
  Liver0.80(0.51 to 1.25)0.3331.51(0.98 to 2.34)0.0601.21(0.81 to 1.81)0.361
  Gallbladder and extrahepatic bile duct8.19(3.42 to 19.60)<0.001*0.71(0.44 to 1.14)0.1515.78(2.40 to 13.91)<0.001*
  Pancreas0.43(0.20 to 0.93)0.031*3.80(1.82 to 7.91)<0.001*1.64(1.05 to 2.54)0.028*
 Respiratory system3.66(2.54 to 5.29)<0.001*0.38(0.28 to 0.52)<0.001*1.40(0.96 to 2.03)0.080
 Bone, skin, and soft tissue0.80(0.42 to 1.52)0.5081.12(0.60 to 2.10)0.7370.90(0.52 to 1.56)0.716
 Breast and genital organs (for females only)0.65(0.44 to 0.96)0.030*1.49(1.01 to 2.21)0.046*0.96(0.70 to 1.32)0.829
 Urinary organs2.46(1.63 to 3.72)<0.001*0.23(0.15 to 0.35)<0.001*0.57(0.33 to 0.96)0.035*
 Eye, brain, and central nervous system, endocrine glands2.63(1.25 to 5.51)0.011*0.56(0.28 to 1.11)0.0991.47(0.63 to 3.46)0.381
 Lymphatic and hematopoietic tissue0.19(0.08 to 0.46)<0.001*6.36(2.58 to 15.64)<0.001*1.21(0.75 to 1.93)0.445
  • *Significantly different.

  • †Not available since no case for esophagus, stomach, and small intestine cancer with TZD as third-line medication.

  • DPP4i, dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor; TZD, thiazolidinediones.