Table 3

Best and main model

Biological factors related to hyperglycemiaThresholdRelevance
Fasting glucose<132 mg/dL0.66
A1c reduction speed>0.38 point HbA1c/year0.59
Distance from target 7%≤0.02 point HbA1c0.59
Biological factors related to insulin resistanceThresholdRelevance
BP systolic<134 mm Hg0.06
Total cholesterol<185 mg/dL0.04
Triglycerides<110 mg/dL0.09
HDL>520.03
ComorbidityConditionRelevance
NephropathyAbsent0.02
AlbuminuriaAbsent0.02
RetinopathyAbsent0.02
Liver diseaseAbsent0.02
History and careThreshold or conditionRelevance
Years of observation<60.12
Months of follow-up<190.09
Interval between visits (Years)<0.90.30
Q Score>290.10
SexMale0.03
Diabetes therapyConditionRelevance
Insulin alone or in addition to oral agentsAbsent0.32
  • The model identifies the following factors as relevant for achieving the target: AUC 0.74, accuracy 0.75, sensitivity 0.74, specificity 0.74, precision 0.72. NPV 0.76.

  • AUC, area under the curve; BP, blood pressure; HDL, high density lipoprotein; NPV, negative predictive value.