Table 3

Incidence of type 2 diabetes by calendar year

Rate per 1000 PYAR (95% CI)Adjusted IRR (95% CI)*
Men [annual change %]Women [annual change %]MenWomen
Year
 20094.98 (4.89 to 5.07)4.40 (4.32 to 4.48)0.98 (0.96 to 1.01)0.98 (0.95 to 1.01)
 20105.07 (4.98 to 5.17) [+1.81]4.36 (4.28 to 4.45) [−0.91]1.00 (0.98 to 1.03)0.97 (0.95 to 1.00)
 20114.95 (4.86 to 5.04) [−2.37]4.35 (4.27 to 4.43) [−0.23]0.98 (0.95 to 1.00)0.98 (0.95 to 1.01)
 20125.00 (4.91 to 5.09) [+1.01]4.33 (4.24 to 4.41) [−0.46]0.99 (0.96 to 1.01)0.98 (0.95 to 1.00)
 20135.06 (4.97 to 5.15) [+1.20]4.45 (4.37 to 4.54) [+2.77]11
 20144.32 (4.23 to 4.40) [−14.62]3.71 (3.63 to 3.79) [−16.63]0.84 (0.82 to 0.87)0.83 (0.81 to 0.86)
 20154.55 (4.45 to 4.64) [+5.32]3.92 (3.83 to 4.01) [+5.66]0.88 (0.86 to 0.91)0.88 (0.85 to 0.90)
 20164.38 (4.28 to 4.48) [−3.74]3.81 (3.72 to 3.91) [−2.81]0.84 (0.82 to 0.87)0.85 (0.82 to 0.87)
 20174.24 (4.14 to 4.35) [−3.20]3.44 (3.35 to 3.53) [−9.71]0.81 (0.79 to 0.84)0.75 (0.72 to 0.77)
 20183.56 (3.46 to 3.66) [−16.04]2.85 (2.76 to 2.93) [−17.15]0.68 (0.66 to 0.70)0.62 (0.60 to 0.65)
  • *Adjusted for other variables considered: age, deprivation and calendar year. Stratified by gender due to significant age-gender interaction.

  • IRR, incidence risk ratio; PYAR, person years at risk.