Table 4

Waist circumference-specific Incidence (cases/1000 person-years) of diabetes by sex and ethnicity

Waist circumferenceSouth Asians (SA)PimaIncidence rate ratioIncidence risk difference
South Asian cut-offNew casesPYRIncidence (95% CI)*New casesPYRIncidence (95% CI)*Pima vs South Asians (ref)Pima vs South Asians
Men
<90.078777110.5 (8.1 to 12.8)57396.9 (0.9 to 13.0)0.67 (0.21, 1.64)−3.3 (−9.6, 3.1)
90.0107404124.5 (19.7 to 29.3)171421140.1 (34.0 to 46.2)1.53 (1.2, 1.97)14.1 (6.2, 22)
Women
<80.05470978.3 (6.1 to 10.5)325413.2 (0.0 to 28.1)1.55 (0.31, 4.78)4.2 (−9.3, 17.7)
80.0209863822.6 (19.5 to 25.7)305719540.3 (35.5 to 45.0)1.75 (1.46, 2.1)18.2 (12.4, 24)
Europids cut-off
 Men
  <94.096906910.9 (8.7 to 13.1)11105010.7 (4.4 to 17.1)0.99 (0.48, 1.85)−0.1 (−6.7, 6.4)
  94.089274329.8 (23.4 to 36.2)165390041.7 (35.2 to 48.2)1.3 (1, 1.71)9.9 (0.5, 19.2)
 Women
  <80.05470978.3 (6.1 to 10.5)325413.2 (0.0 to 28.1)1.55 (0.31, 4.78)4.2 (−9.3, 17.7)
  80.0209863822.6 (19.5 to 25.7)305719540.3 (35.5 to 45.0)1.75 (1.46, 2.1)18.2 (12.4, 24)
In the USA, the ATP III values
 Men
  <102.013710 86912.7 (10.6 to 14.9)32201515.9 (10.4 to 21.4)1.26 (0.83, 1.86)3.3 (−2.6, 9.2)
  102.04894345.1 (31.9 to 58.2)144293548.3 (40.3 to 56.3)0.96 (0.69, 1.37)−1.8 (−18.3, 14.6)
 Women
  <88.012511 21811.6 (9.6 to 13.7)974412.9 (4.5 to 21.3)1.09 (0.49, 2.13)1.00 (−7.2, 9.1)
  88.0138451827.4 (22.8 to 32.1)299670542.3 (37.3 to 47.4)1.46 (1.19, 1.8)14.0 (6.9, 21.2)
  • IRR (ratio of incidence rates) calculated as Pima (incidence rate) divided by SA (incidence rate). Incidence risk difference (IRD, risk difference, cases/1000 person years) calculated as Pima (incidence rate) minus SA (incidence rate).

  • Incidence rate ratio and incidence risk difference calculated from crude incidence rates.

  • Diabetes defined as FPG≥ 7.00 mmol/L (126 mg/dL) or HbA1c ≥ 48 mmol/mol (6.5 %) or self-reported/physician diagnosed diabetes or medication.

  • *Age adjusted; PYR-person years; ref-reference category; vs-Versus.

  • ATP, Adult Treatment Panel; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; IRD, incidence risk difference; IRR, incidence rate ratio; PYR, person year.