Table 3

BMI-specific incidence of diabetes (cases/1000 PYR) by sex and ethnicity

BMI categoriesSouth Asians (SA)US blacksUS whitesSA versus US whites (ref)US blacks versus US whites (ref)
New casesPYRIncidence (95% CI)New casesPYRIncidence (95% CI)New casesPYRIncidence (95% CI)IRRIRDIRRIRD
Men
<2566352318.7
(14.2 to 23.3)
34257013.2
(8.7 to 17.6)
6510 3846.3
(4.7 to 7.8)
2.99
(2.09 to 4.28)
12.5
(7.7 to 17.2)
2.11
(1.35 to 3.25)
7.0
(2.3 to 11.7)
25.0–29.962171036.2
(27.2 to 45.3)
83359323.2
(18.2 to 28.2)
27618 71214.8
(13.0 to 16.5)
2.46
(1.84 to 3.25)
21.5
(12.3 to 30.7)
1.57
(1.21 to 2.01)
8.4
(3.1 to 13.6)
≥302455843.0
(25.8 to 60.2)
98191051.5
(41.3 to 61.7)
242681035.7
(31.2 to 40.2)
1.21
(0.76 to 1.84)
7.4
(−10.3 to 25.2)
1.44
(1.13 to 1.83)
15.8
(4.7 to 26.9)
Women
<2549221422.2
(16.0 to 28.4)
29280210.4
(6.6 to 14.1)
8921 1714.2
(3.4 to 5.1)
5.27
(3.64 to 7.54)
17.9
(11.7 to 24.2)
2.46
(1.56 to 3.78)
6.1
(2.3 to 10.0)
25.0–29.967189135.3
(26.8 to 43.8)
115508522.7
(18.5 to 26.8)
15512 99911.9
(10.0 to 13.7)
2.97
(2.20 to 3.98)
23.5
(14.8 to 32.2)
1.9
(1.48 to 2.43)
10.7
(6.2 to 15.2)
≥3069130352.8
(40.3 to 65.2)
228560440.9
(35.6 to 46.2)
209819025.5
(22.1 to 29.0)
2.07
(1.56 to 2.74)
27.4
(14.5 to 40.4)
1.59
(1.32 to 1.93)
15.2
(8.9 to 21.5)
  • Age-adjusted incidence reported.

  • IRR (ratio of incidence rates) calculated as South Asians/US blacks (incidence rate) divided by US whites (incidence rate).

  • IRD (risk difference, cases/1000 PYR) calculated as South Asians/US blacks (incidence rate) minus US whites (incidence rate).

  • IRR and IRD calculated from crude incidence rates.

  • Diabetes defined as FPG ≥7.00 mmol/L (126 mg/dL) or HbA1c ≥48 mmol/mol (6.5%) or self-reported/physician-diagnosed diabetes or medication.

  • BMI, body mass index; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; HbA1c, hemoglobin A1c; IRD, incidence risk difference; IRR, incidence rate ratio; PYR, person-years; ref, reference.