Table 3

Multivariate adjusted HRs for development of diabetes in all participants

Model 1Model 2
HR (95% CI)P valueHR (95% CI)P value
Age1.04 (1.02 to 1.06)<0.00011.04 (1.02 to 1.06)<0.0001
Sex (male)1.08 (0.68 to 1.79)0.771.08 (0.69 to 1.80)0.75
BMI at baseline1.12 (1.06 to 1.19)0.00021.12 (1.06 to 1.19)0.0002
Change in BMI after data collection0.99 (0.90 to 1.09)0.870.99 (0.90 to 1.09)0.85
CV of BMI quartile 1 (ref)1
 Quartile 21.10 (0.83 to 1.46)0.50
 Quartile 31.06 (0.80 to 1.42)0.67
 Quartile 41.33 (1.01 to 1.75)0.03
CV of BMI1.11 (1.01 to 1.22)0.03
Systolic blood pressure1.003 (0.996 to 1.01)0.391.003 (0.996 to 1.01)0.36
LDL cholesterol1.002 (0.999 to 1.005)0.171.002 (0.999 to 1.006)0.16
HDL cholesterol0.99 (0.98 to 0.999)0.020.99 (0.98 to 0.999)0.02
Triglycerides0.9999 (0.999 to 1.0009)0.930.9999 (0.999 to 1.0009)0.89
Glucose1.14 (1.13 to 1.16)<0.00011.14 (1.13 to 1.16)<0.0001
Smoking (past) (ref: none)0.88 (0.63 to 1.21)0.420.87 (0.62 to 1.20)0.42
Smoking (current) (ref: none)1.81 (1.45 to 2.25)<0.00011.81 (1.45 to 2.25)<0.0001
Eating speed (slow)
(ref: normal)
0.83 (0.50 to 1.28)0.410.83 (0.50 to 1.29)0.42
Eating speed (fast)
(ref: normal)
1.27 (1.04 to 1.56)0.021.27 (1.03 to 1.55)0.02
Skipping breakfast (yes)
(ref: no)
1.17 (0.93 to 1.46)0.171.17 (0.93 to 1.46)0.17
Alcohol drinker (yes) (ref: no)1.03 (0.83 to 1.27)0.771.04 (0.84 to 1.28)0.72
Physical exercise (yes)
(ref: no)
1.08 (0.82 to 1.39)0.591.08 (0.82 to 1.39)0.60
  • BMI, body mass index; CV, coefficient of variation; HDL, high-density lipoprotein; LDL, low-density lipoprotein; ref, reference.