The predicted probability of ulcer recurrence within 18 months using model 1 (all recurrent foot ulcers) and model 2 (all recurrent plantar foot ulcers) for two characteristic persons with diabetes using synthesized data
Person A | Person B | |
Model 1 | ||
Age (years) | 50 | 80 |
Severity of peripheral sensory neuropathy | Severe | Mild |
Months since healing of previous ulcer | 3 | 24 |
Minor lesions | Yes | No |
Walking aid | No | Yes |
At-home foot temperature monitoring | Yes | No |
Probability of ulcer recurrence (95% CI) | 0.60 (0.54 to 0.66) | 0.08 (0.04 to 0.13) |
Model 2 | ||
Age (years) | 50 | 80 |
Plantar location of previous ulcer | Yes | No |
Months since healing of previous ulcer | 3 | 24 |
Minor lesions | Yes | No |
Walking aid | No | Yes |
Alcohol consumption | No | Yes |
Care center | ||
University medical center | University medical center | |
Community hospital | ||
Podiatry practice | Podiatry practice | |
Probability of ulcer recurrence (95% CI) | 0.47 (0.38 to 0.56) | 0.06 (0.04 to 0.10) |