Table 3

Hazard ratios (HR) mutually adjusted for all factors shown

CharacteristicHR (95% CI)*P value
Age (per 5-year increase)†0.92 (0.92 to 0.93)1.0e-133
Age category (years)
 <451.00
 45 to <550.79 (0.75 to 0.82)1.5e-26
 55 to <650.60 (0.58 to 0.63)1.1e-96
 65 and over0.57 (0.54 to 0.59)1.4e-115
Sex
 Female1.00
 Male1.04 (1.01 to 1.07)0.011
Baseline DR grade‡
 No retinopathy1.00
 Retinopathy in one eye3.03 (2.91 to 3.15)4.6e-626
 Retinopathy in both eyes7.88 (7.59 to 8.18)2.5e-2521
Ethnicity
 White1.00
 South Asian1.36 (1.31 to 1.42)1.0e-52
 Black1.57 (1.50 to 1.64)2.6e-81
 Any other Asian1.25 (1.16 to 1.34)4.0e-10
 Other1.29 (1.18 to 1.42)4.7e-08
 Mixed1.39 (1.20 to 1.60)5.7e-06
 Chinese0.98 (0.79 to 1.21)0.831
 Unknown1.71 (1.41 to 2.07)4.8e-08
Duration of diabetes (per 5-year increase)1.14 (1.13 to 1.15)8.3e-138
Type of diabetes
 21.00
 11.03 (0.97 to 1.11)0.337
 Other0.73 (0.44 to 1.22)0.231
 Missing1.34 (1.20 to 1.51)6.3e-07
Deprivation (IMD quintiles)
 11.00
 21.04 (0.99 to 1.10)0.141
 31.03 (0.98 to 1.09)0.281
 40.98 (0.93 to 1.04)0.592
 50.93 (0.87 to 1.00)0.041
 Missing1.68 (0.75 to 3.75)0.208
  • HR >1 imply greater hazards for sight-threatening DR. Bold p values show statistically significant results.

  • *Mutually adjusted HR from Cox model adjusting for age, sex, baseline DR severity, ethnicity, duration and type of diabetes and IMD.

  • †Models with age as continuous and categorical variable were fitted separately. Estimates are included in this table to show non-linear associations.

  • ‡No retinopathy (R0M0 in both eyes); retinopathy in one eye (R1M0 in one eye); retinopathy in both eyes (R1M0 in both eyes).

  • DR, diabetic retinopathy; IMD, index of multiple deprivation.