Prognostic value of obesity on both overall mortality and cardiovascular disease in the general population

PLoS One. 2015 May 20;10(5):e0127369. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0127369. eCollection 2015.

Abstract

Background: Obesity represents an important health problem and its association with cardiovascular risk factors is well-known. The aim of this work was to assess the correlation between obesity and mortality (both, all-cause mortality and the combined variable of all-cause mortality plus the appearance of a non-fatal first cardiovascular event) in a general population sample from the south-east of Spain.

Materials and methods: This prospective cohort study used stratified and randomized two-stage sampling. Obesity [body mass index (BMI) ≥ 30 kg/m(2)] as a predictive variable of mortality and cardiovascular events was assessed after controlling for age, sex, cardiovascular disease history, high blood pressure, diabetes mellitus, hypercholesterolemia, high-density lipoprotein/triglycerides ratio, total cholesterol and smoking with the Cox regression model.

Results: The mean follow-up time of the 1,248 participants was 10.6 years. The incidence of all-cause mortality during this period was 97 deaths for every 10,000 person/years (95% CI: 80-113) and the incidence of all-cause mortality+cardiovascular morbidity was 143 cases for every 10,000 person/years (95% CI: 124-163). A BMI ≥ 35 kg/m(2) yielded a hazard ratio for all-cause mortality of 1.94 (95% CI: 1.11-3.42) in comparison to non-obese subjects (BMI <30 kg/m(2)). For the combination of cardiovascular morbidity plus all-cause mortality, a BMI ≥ 35 kg/m(2) had a hazard ratio of 1.84 (95% CI: 1.15-2.93) compared to non-obese subjects.

Conclusions: A BMI ≥ 35 kg/m(2) is an important predictor of both overall mortality and of the combination of cardiovascular morbidity plus all-cause mortality.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Cardiovascular Diseases / complications*
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / mortality*
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Obesity / classification
  • Obesity / complications*
  • Obesity / mortality*
  • Prognosis
  • Spain / epidemiology
  • Survival Analysis
  • Treatment Outcome

Grants and funding

This study has been partially funded by: 1) The Community Board of Castilla-La Mancha, Regional Ministry of Health and Social Affairs (Order of July 3rd, 1992 and Order of September 14th, 1993, both published in Diario Oficial de Castilla-La Mancha, DOCM); 2) Grant from the Foundation for Health Research in Castilla-La Mancha (FISCAM), file number 03069-00. The funders were public institutions with no role in the manuscript elaboration.